Online work marketplace Upwork (NASDAQ:UPWK) reported revenue ahead of Wall Street’s expectations in Q2 CY2025, but sales were flat year on year at $194.9 million. Guidance for next quarter’s revenue was optimistic at $192.5 million at the midpoint, 2.7% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.35 per share was 27.1% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Upwork (UPWK) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $194.9 million vs analyst estimates of $187.6 million (flat year on year, 3.9% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.35 vs analyst estimates of $0.28 (27.1% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $57.06 million vs analyst estimates of $47.09 million (29.3% margin, 21.2% beat)
- The company lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $770 million at the midpoint from $750 million, a 2.7% increase
- Management reiterated its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance of $1.16 at the midpoint
- EBITDA guidance for the full year is $210 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $196.4 million
- Operating Margin: 16.7%, up from 9.2% in the same quarter last year
- Gross Services Volume: 796,000, down 72,000 year on year
- Market Capitalization: $1.78 billion
StockStory’s Take
Upwork’s second quarter results were well received by the market, with management pointing to platform enhancements and a sharpened focus on AI-driven features as key reasons for the company’s performance. CEO Hayden Brown highlighted accelerated client hiring in AI-related work, improvements in marketplace monetization, and growth in the Business Plus segment. CFO Erica Gessert noted that Upwork’s targeted marketing and cost discipline contributed to margin expansion, even as the broader demand environment remained challenging. The company attributed a positive shift in gross services volume per client and higher contract values to new product features and AI-powered workflow improvements.
Looking ahead, Upwork’s raised full-year guidance rests on continued momentum from its AI strategy, new enterprise-focused acquisitions, and greater monetization of larger clients. Management expects recently acquired workforce management and employment solutions to broaden its service offerings for large enterprises, positioning Upwork to capture a greater share of contingent workforce spending. Brown stated, “We expect these acquisitions to contribute to top line growth in 2026 and to be meaningfully GSV, revenue and adjusted EBITDA accretive in 2027.” Gessert emphasized ongoing investment in AI workflows and disciplined cost management as supportive of future margin improvement and operational efficiency.
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Management attributed Q2’s performance to successful AI integration, new enterprise solutions, and increased platform monetization, with several new offerings driving both client engagement and profitability.
- AI platform enhancements: Upwork’s AI-driven features, such as Uma’s interview automation and AI-powered job matching, improved client and freelancer experiences, leading to higher average spend per contract and greater engagement on the platform.
- Business Plus segment growth: The Business Plus offering, targeting larger SMBs and teams, saw a 190% quarter-over-quarter increase in gross services volume and 45% growth in active clients, helping diversify Upwork’s client base and increase wallet share among higher-value customers.
- Enterprise solution expansion: The acquisitions of Bubty and Ascen, both enterprise workforce solutions, are expected to enable Upwork to serve a wider range of contingent workforce needs for large clients, positioning the company to address a $650 billion market opportunity.
- Marketplace monetization initiatives: Revenue from ads, Connects, and Freelancer Plus subscriptions grew year-over-year, with take rate improvements driven by new pricing experiments and expanded product adoption.
- AI-driven internal efficiency: Over 35% of Upwork’s code deployed in Q2 was AI-generated, streamlining product development and reducing operating costs, which contributed to margin expansion and allowed for faster product updates.
Drivers of Future Performance
Upwork anticipates that AI advancements, enterprise client growth, and continued product innovation will be the main drivers of its revenue and margin outlook.
- Enterprise acquisitions to unlock growth: Management expects the full integration of Bubty and Ascen will allow Upwork to secure larger, multi-year contracts with enterprise clients, driving meaningful gross services volume (GSV) and revenue contributions beginning in 2026, and boosting adjusted EBITDA by 2027.
- AI-powered product improvements: Continued investment in AI capabilities is expected to further enhance the client and freelancer experience, increase average spend per contract, and improve operational efficiency, supporting higher margins over the long term.
- Market and macro headwinds: Management acknowledged that while AI and enterprise initiatives are offsetting a softer acquisition environment, ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and slower new client acquisition could remain headwinds, particularly for marketplace growth among smaller customers.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will monitor (1) the pace and impact of Bubty and Ascen integration into Upwork’s enterprise subsidiary, (2) continued adoption of AI-driven features and their effect on client spend, and (3) the trajectory of Business Plus client growth and its contribution to overall revenue. We will also watch for signs that Upwork sustains its margin gains and navigates macroeconomic headwinds effectively.
Upwork currently trades at $13.34, up from $12.01 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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